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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-03-20T08:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-20T08:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14568/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-24T20:43Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-25T12:50Z (-24.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 80.0%
Prediction Method: DBM + ESWF
Prediction Method Note:

Model & CME input parameters:

Start March 20, 2019 15:20 at 10Rs, v=350km/s, w=400km/s, half-angle = 30°, location W20

Lead Time: 84.63 hour(s)
Difference: -16.12 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) on 2019-03-21T08:05Z

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